| Break Out Stocks 2006 Q1 Review |
Once again we are conducting our quarterly review and re-evaluating the stocks on our Watched List to see if we want to keep following them.
We sometimes err in our recommendations and sometimes circumstances change and a stock that had been behaving well starts to head south.
We're also looking for ways to improve our selection and culling criteria and you'll find a review of our previous paring jobs elsewhere. For this effort we are following much the same plan, dropping stocks that meet all three of the following three criteria:
And we are dropping any stocks we've had for over a year that have failed to grow by 25% or have had for two years and have failed to grow by 50%. We are making exceptions for stocks that are in a current up trend or are growing earnings.
The table below gives the complete picture. We're dropping Killam Properties and Great Canadian Gaming.
It should be noted, of course, that because we are dropping them from our Watched List doesn't necessarily mean they are poor stocks. We've dropped stocks before only to see them catch fire and soar subsequently. It just means that I no longer consider the upside odds very good. I may add one or more back in at a later date.
Note: T = turnaround from loss to profit, L means the company had a loss in the most recent quarter, * means quarterly earnings per share not available.
| Name | Symbol |
Date Featured |
Price Then |
Change Q4 |
Change YTD |
Change Since Profiled |
March RS Change |
Recent Trend |
QEPS Change |
Status |
|
Home Capital Group |
HCG |
Nov. 20/00 |
$3.00 |
0.43% |
0.43% |
1063.33% |
off list | i | +35.10% | Keep |
|
Peyto Energy Trust |
PEY.UN |
Feb. 22/02 |
$2.58 |
3.07% |
3.07% |
916.31% |
off list | h | T | Keep |
|
Melcor Developments |
MRD |
Mar. 2/01 |
$20.30 |
51.90% |
51.90% |
786.70% |
+0.14 | h | +60.44% | Keep |
|
Alimentation Couche-Tard |
ATD.SV.B |
Dec. 4/00 |
$2.88 |
8.55% |
8.55% |
783.48% |
+3.99 | h | +44.44% | Keep |
|
Reitmans (Canada) |
RET.A |
July 6/01 |
$2.53 |
16.17% |
16.17% |
686.17% |
-0.14 | h | +27.78% | Keep |
|
TransForce Income Fund |
TIF.UN |
Jan. 18/02 |
$3.02 |
14.24% |
14.24% |
545.36% |
off list | g | +39.39% | Keep |
|
Zargon Energy Trust |
ZAR.UN |
Jan. 29/01 |
$4.70 |
-5.51% |
-5.51% |
538.30% |
off list | g | +211.76% | Keep |
|
SNC-Lavalin Group |
SNC |
Mar. 23/01 |
$5.42 |
25.40% |
25.40% |
488.38% |
-8.61 | g | +26.67% | Keep |
|
Stantec Inc. |
STN |
Apr. 20/01 |
$8.25 |
8.55% |
8.55% |
423.03% |
-3.03 | g | -30.77% | Keep |
|
Canada Bread Co. |
CBY |
May 18/01 |
$13.00 |
-2.12% |
-2.12% |
344.23% |
off list | h | -1.33% | Keep |
|
Trican Well Service |
TCW |
Apr. 18/04 |
$12.16 |
-4.91% |
-4.91% |
337.79% |
-0.87 | h | +95.35% | Keep |
|
Goldcorp Inc. |
G |
May 25/01 |
$7.83 |
31.93% |
31.93% |
336.40% |
-1.68 | h | +237.5% | Keep |
|
CCS Income Fund |
CCR.UN |
May 18/03 |
$10.15 |
-0.41% |
-0.41% |
263.23% |
-10.59 | g | +46.81% | Keep |
|
Contrans Income Fund |
CSS.UN |
Oct. 12/01 |
$3.63 |
-11.81% |
-11.81% |
241.60% |
off list | i | 0.00% | Keep |
|
GSW Inc. |
GSW.SV.B |
May 16/04 |
$34.73 |
3.38% |
3.38% |
230.41% |
-1.98 | g | +215.18% | Drop |
|
Richelieu Hardware |
RCH |
Dec. 4/00 |
$7.00 |
-7.72% |
-7.72% |
212.43% |
off list | g | +9.52% | Keep |
|
BMTC Group |
GBT.SV.A |
Aug. 20/02 |
$6.98 |
18.75% |
18.75% |
172.40% |
new | h | -14.29% | Keep |
|
Niko Resources |
NKO |
Nov. 17/02 |
$22.20 |
6.85% |
6.85% |
165.77% |
off list | h | -72.50% | Keep |
|
Steepleback Industrial Group |
SID |
Jan. 18/04 |
$2.95 |
6.34% |
6.34% |
155.93% |
-3.42 | h | +100.00% | Keep |
|
CML Healthcare Income Fund |
CLC.UN |
Apr. 12/02 |
$5.85 |
1.46% |
1.46% |
149.74% |
off list | g | -21.43% | Keep |
|
AlarmForce |
AF |
Sept. 21/03 |
$1.92 |
15.19% |
15.19% |
136.98% |
off list | h | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Fortis Inc. |
FTS |
Mar. 16/01 |
$9.50 |
-7.58% |
-7.58% |
136.11% |
off list | i | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Finning International |
FTT |
May 11/01 |
$16.40 |
3.93% |
3.93% |
135.37% |
off list | h | +73.91% | Keep |
|
TSX Group |
X |
Jan. 18/04 |
$22.50 |
12.15% |
12.15% |
133.42% |
-2.07 | h | +48.15% | Keep |
|
Cameco Corp. |
CCO |
Nov. 19/04 |
$18.44 |
13.84% |
13.84% |
127.83% |
-3.61 | g | +109.52% | Keep |
|
Pason Systems |
PSI |
May 16/04 |
$15.00 |
8.24% |
8.24% |
108.53% |
-3.22 | g | +50.00% | Keep |
|
Falconbridge Ltd. |
FAL.LV |
Mar. 14/04 |
$19.63 |
18.46% |
18.46% |
108.20% |
-3.47 | h | +57.45% | Keep |
|
Garda World Security |
GW |
Aug. 21/05 |
$12.15 |
54.96% |
54.96% |
92.84% |
+0.05 | h | +38.89% | Keep |
|
Western Lakota Energy Services |
WLE |
July 17/05 |
$9.45 |
3.69% |
3.69% |
90.48% |
-0.05 | g | +111.11% | Keep |
|
Xceed Mortgage Corporation |
XMC |
Jan. 16/05 |
$5.05 |
49.21% |
49.21% |
86.14% |
-3.94 | g | +54.55% | Keep |
|
ZCL Composites |
ZCL |
June 20/04 |
$2.05 |
-1.06% |
-1.06% |
82.93% |
off list | g | 0.00% | Keep |
|
RONA Inc. |
RON |
Nov. 16/03 |
$12.78 |
3.92% |
3.92% |
74.48% |
off list | h | +23.08% | Keep |
|
Aur Resources |
AUR |
Oct. 16/05 |
$8.57 |
25.89% |
25.89% |
73.05% |
-0.58 | g | +22.22% | Keep |
|
BlackRock Ventures |
BVI |
Jan. 16/05 |
$8.92 |
21.30% |
21.30% |
56.39% |
new | h | +300.00% | Keep |
|
March Networks |
MN |
Nov. 20/05 |
$22.50 |
5.94% |
5.94% |
52.22% |
off list | i | +40.91% | Keep |
|
Sino-Forest Corporation |
TRE |
Dec. 18/05 |
$4.40 |
32.59% |
32.59% |
48.86% |
+2.16 | h | +33.33% | Keep |
|
Savannah Energy Services |
SVY |
Feb. 20/05 |
$19.35 |
-2.10% |
-2.10% |
44.70% |
+1.16 | h | +60.71% | Keep |
|
Le Chateau |
CTU.SV.A |
June 19/05 |
$39.06 |
17.24% |
17.24% |
44.01% |
+1.45 | h | +19.32% | Keep |
|
Pareto Corp. |
PTO |
Aug. 21/05 |
$1.13 |
16.79% |
16.79% |
41.59% |
-2.89 | h | +33.33% | Keep |
|
La Senza |
LSZ.SV |
April 17/05 |
$14.65 |
7.11% |
7.11% |
38.91% |
-6.89 | h | +64.00% | Keep |
|
McCoy |
MCB |
May 15/05 |
$4.65 |
1.59% |
1.59% |
37.63% |
-8.47 | g | -16.67% | Keep |
|
Gildan Activewear |
GIL |
Sept. 18/05 |
$42.01 |
10.48% |
10.48% |
31.49% |
-2.70 | g | +92.86% | Keep |
|
Teck Cominco |
TEK.SV.B |
Dec. 18/05 |
$57.75 |
21.10% |
21.10% |
30.11% |
-3.18 | h | +76.06% | Keep |
|
Kingsway Financial Services |
KFS |
July 20/03 |
$18.60 |
0.85% |
0.85% |
27.42% |
off list | g | +15.63% | Keep |
|
Royal Gold |
RGL |
Sept. 18/05 |
$33.50 |
4.77% |
4.77% |
26.54% |
+0.20 | h | 0.00% | Keep |
|
easyhome |
EH |
Dec. 17/04 |
$12.93 |
3.48% |
3.48% |
26.42% |
off list | g | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Killam Properties |
KMP |
Jan. 18/04 |
$2.36 |
3.13% |
3.13% |
25.85% |
off list | g | L | Drop |
|
Sherritt International |
S |
Nov. 19/04 |
$8.66 |
5.45% |
5.45% |
22.98% |
off list | h | +60.00% | Keep |
|
Stella-Jones Inc. |
SJ |
Feb. 19/06 |
$15.75 |
17.46% |
17.46% |
17.46% |
+0.43 | h | +125.00% | Keep |
|
Ensign Energy Services |
ESI |
Nov. 20/05 |
$40.24 |
-4.31% |
-4.31% |
11.58% |
+2.02 | h | +58.33% | Keep |
|
Big Rock Brewery Income Trust |
BR.UN |
Oct. 15/04 |
$16.05 |
-11.35% |
-11.35% |
6.54% |
off list | g | +31.82% | Keep |
|
Intrawest Corporation |
ITW |
Mar. 19/06 |
$37.58 |
6.12% |
6.12% |
6.12% |
-1.16 | h | T | Keep |
|
Research In Motion |
RIM |
Sept. 19/04 |
$94.82 |
28.85% |
28.85% |
4.29% |
off list | h | T | Keep |
|
Aber Diamonds |
ABZ |
Jan. 15/06 |
$46.77 |
0.51% |
0.51% |
0.51% |
off list | g | -49.02% | Keep |
|
Centurion Energy |
CUX |
Jan. 16/05 |
$14.45 |
26.22% |
26.22% |
-1.38% |
off list | h | +30.77% | Keep |
|
Ritchie Brothers |
RBA |
Mar. 19/06 |
$59.30 |
-2.53% |
-2.53% |
-2.53% |
-1.88 | h | +24.24% | Keep |
|
FirstService Corporation |
FSV.SV |
Feb. 19/06 |
$29.50 |
-3.46% |
-3.46% |
-3.46% |
off list | g | +14.29% | Keep |
|
Calfrac Well Services |
CFW |
Mar. 20/05 |
$36.75 |
-15.61% |
-15.61% |
-7.46% |
off list | i | +17.19% | Keep |
|
Potash Corporation |
POT |
June 19/05 |
$119.85 |
10.42% |
10.42% |
-14.23% |
off list | g | +23.86% | Keep |
|
Cryptologic |
CRY |
May 15/05 |
$42.05 |
31.96% |
31.96% |
-28.42% |
off list | h | +59.26% | Keep |
|
Great Canadian Gaming |
GCD |
Mar. 20/05 |
$19.32 |
-23.44% |
-23.44% |
-35.09% |
off list | i | L | Drop |
|
Aggregate Gain |
|
|
|
575.92% |
575.92% |
10736.41% |
||||
|
Average Gain |
|
|
|
9.44% |
9.44% |
176.01% |
| Name | Symbol |
Date Featured |
Price Then |
Change Q4 |
Change YTD |
Change Since Profiled |
Dec. RS Change |
Recent Trend |
QEPS Change |
Status |
|
Home Capital Group |
HCG |
Nov. 20/00 |
$3.00 |
-7.33% |
11.20% |
1058.33% |
off list | i | +36.36% | Keep |
|
Peyto Energy Trust |
PEY.UN |
Feb. 22/02 |
$2.58 |
-16.62% |
6.17% |
886.02% |
off list | h | +58.33% | Keep |
|
Alimentation Couche-Tard |
ATD.SV.B |
Dec. 4/00 |
$2.88 |
13.59% |
31.83% |
713.91% |
new | h | +42.11% | Keep |
|
Reitmans (Canada) |
RET.A |
July 6/01 |
$2.53 |
1.42% |
19.79% |
576.74% |
off list | g | +8.00% | Keep |
|
Zargon Oil & Gas |
ZAR.UN |
Jan. 29/01 |
$4.70 |
-8.63% |
33.12% |
575.53% |
-1.55 | h | +39.29% | Keep |
|
Melcor Developments |
MRD |
Mar. 2/01 |
$20.30 |
16.18% |
132.35% |
483.74% |
-0.23 | h | +361.24% | Keep |
|
TransForce Income Fund |
TIF.UN |
Jan. 18/02 |
$3.02 |
4.53% |
15.66% |
464.90% |
off list | h | +164.71% | Keep |
|
Stantec Inc. |
STN |
Apr. 20/01 |
$8.25 |
10.42% |
50.11% |
381.82% |
-3.47 | h | +45.45% | Keep |
|
SNC-Lavalin Group |
SNC |
Mar. 23/01 |
$16.25 |
1.58% |
31.55% |
369.54% |
-1.71 | g | -7.02% | Keep |
|
Trican Well Service |
TCW |
Apr. 18/04 |
$12.16 |
32.36% |
152.63% |
360.40% |
-0.29 | h | +342.86% | Keep |
|
Canada Bread Co. |
CBY |
May 18/01 |
$13.00 |
16.85% |
25.53% |
353.85% |
-11.95 | h | +23.29% | Keep |
|
Contrans Income Fund |
CSS.UN |
Oct. 12/01 |
$3.63 |
1.01% |
0.21% |
287.33% |
off list | h | +41.18% | Keep |
|
CCS Income Fund |
CCR.UN |
May 18/03 |
$10.15 |
19.43% |
68.45% |
264.71% |
-2.70 | h | +108.70% | Keep |
|
Richelieu Hardware |
RCH |
Dec. 4/00 |
$7.00 |
7.73% |
7.87% |
238.57% |
off list | h | 0.0% | Keep |
|
Goldcorp Inc. |
G |
May 25/01 |
$7.83 |
11.16% |
43.41% |
230.78% |
+2.66 | h | +200.0% | Keep |
|
GSW Inc. |
GSW.B |
May 16/04 |
$34.73 |
30.59% |
146.67% |
219.61% |
+0.54 | h | +165.66% | Keep |
|
Fortis Inc. |
FTS |
Mar. 16/01 |
$9.50 |
0.68% |
39.68% |
155.47% |
-5.45 | g | +32.00% | Keep |
|
Niko Resources |
NKO |
Nov. 17/02 |
$22.20 |
8.27% |
9.41% |
148.74% |
off list | h | -42.11% | Keep |
|
CML Healthcare Income Fund |
CLC.UN |
Apr. 12/02 |
$5.85 |
-2.83% |
7.87% |
146.15% |
off list | h | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Steepleback Industrial Group |
SID |
Jan. 18/04 |
$2.95 |
5.97% |
77.94% |
140.68% |
-1.92 | h | L | Keep |
|
BMTC Group |
GBT.SV.A |
Aug. 20/02 |
$6.98 |
14.29% |
25.98% |
129.39% |
-2.24 | h | +6.98% | Keep |
|
Finning International |
FTT |
May 11/01 |
$16.40 |
-7.24% |
6.14% |
126.46% |
off list | i | -10.00% | Keep |
|
TSX Group |
X |
Jan. 18/04 |
$22.50 |
16.17% |
74.45% |
108.13% |
+1.77 | h | +82.61% | Keep |
|
AlarmForce |
AF |
Sept. 21/03 |
$1.92 |
-2.47% |
11.27% |
105.73% |
off list | h | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Cameco Corp. |
CCO |
Nov. 19/04 |
$36.87 |
18.98% |
75.90% |
100.14% |
-0.51 | h | +48.28% | Keep |
|
Pason Systems |
PSI |
May 16/04 |
$15.00 |
6.33% |
56.22% |
92.67% |
+1.53 | h | +80.00% | Keep |
|
ZCL Composites |
ZCL |
June 20/04 |
$2.05 |
26.33% |
10.82% |
84.88% |
off list | h | -42.86% | Keep |
|
Western Lakota Energy Services |
WLE |
July 17/05 |
$9.45 |
24.00% |
83.70% |
83.70% |
-0.49 | h | +85.71% | Keep |
|
Falconbridge Ltd. |
FAL.LV |
Mar. 14/04 |
$19.63 |
11.04% |
96.36% |
75.75% |
-2.07 | h | +47.37% | Keep |
|
RONA Inc. |
RON |
Nov. 16/03 |
$12.78 |
-6.58% |
5.15% |
67.91% |
off list | i | +21.05% | Keep |
|
Savannah Energy Services |
SVY |
Feb. 20/05 |
$19.35 |
4.11% |
47.80% |
47.80% |
-1.58 | h | +52.94% | Keep |
|
March Networks |
MN |
Nov. 20/05 |
$22.50 |
43.69% |
43.69% |
43.69% |
n/a | h | +114.29% | Keep |
|
Aur Resources |
AUR |
Oct. 16/05 |
$8.57 |
37.46% |
37.46% |
37.46% |
+1.18 | h | +50.0% | Keep |
|
McCoy |
MCB |
May 15/05 |
$4.65 |
0.80% |
35.48% |
35.48% |
+0.05 | g | +300.00% | Keep |
|
La Senza |
LSZ.SV |
April 17/05 |
$14.65 |
-4.76% |
29.69% |
29.69% |
-4.54 | g | T | Keep |
|
BlackRock Ventures |
BVI |
Jan. 16/05 |
$8.92 |
11.11% |
28.92% |
28.92% |
+4.54 | h | +150.00% | Keep |
|
Kingsway Financial Services |
KFS |
July 20/03 |
$18.60 |
12.71% |
23.68% |
26.34% |
-0.82 | h | +22.22% | Keep |
|
Xceed Mortgage Corporation |
XMC |
Jan. 16/05 |
$5.05 |
-15.32% |
24.75% |
24.75% |
-5.36 | i | +81.25% | Keep |
|
Garda World Security |
GW |
Aug. 21/05 |
$12.15 |
35.12% |
24.44% |
24.44% |
-2.26 | h | +44.44% | Keep |
|
Le Chateau |
CTU.SV.A |
June 19/05 |
$39.06 |
-1.86% |
22.84% |
22.84% |
-1.15 | g | +12.50% | Keep |
|
easyhome |
EH |
Dec. 17/04 |
$12.93 |
-3.07% |
24.74% |
22.17% |
+0.98 | g | -43.90% | Keep |
|
Killam Properties |
KMP |
Jan. 18/04 |
$2.36 |
6.67% |
40.49% |
22.03% |
-4.96 | h | +19.23% | Keep |
|
Pareto Corp. |
PTO |
Aug. 21/05 |
$1.13 |
9.60% |
21.24% |
21.24% |
off list | g | 0.00% | Keep |
|
Royal Gold |
RGL |
Sept. 18/05 |
$33.50 |
39.52% |
20.78% |
20.78% |
+6.52 | h | +16.67% | Keep |
|
Big Rock Brewery Income Trust |
BR.UN |
Oct. 15/04 |
$16.05 |
11.63% |
7.17% |
20.19% |
off list | h | +19.35% | Keep |
|
Gildan Activewear |
GIL |
Sept. 18/05 |
$42.01 |
12.84% |
19.02% |
19.02% |
-0.14 | h | +29.55% | Keep |
|
Sherritt International |
S |
Nov. 19/04 |
$8.66 |
-7.76% |
1.61% |
16.63% |
off list | h | -35.00% | Keep |
|
Ensign Energy Services |
ESI |
Nov. 20/05 |
$40.24 |
16.60% |
16.60% |
16.60% |
+0.45 | h | +65.22% | Keep |
|
Sino-Forest Corporation |
TRE |
Dec. 18/05 |
$4.40 |
12.27% |
12.27% |
12.27% |
+8.97 | h | +118.18% | Keep |
|
Calfrac Well Services |
CFW |
Mar. 20/05 |
$36.75 |
1.90% |
9.66% |
9.66% |
-0.80 | h | +2.94% | Keep |
|
Teck Cominco |
TEK.SV.B |
Dec. 18/05 |
$57.75 |
7.45% |
7.45% |
7.45% |
+2.40 | h | +222.58% | Keep |
|
Great Canadian Gaming |
GCD |
Mar. 20/05 |
$19.32 |
-7.72% |
-15.22% |
-15.22% |
off list | h | +22.22% | Keep |
|
Research In Motion |
RIM |
Sept. 19/04 |
$94.82 |
-3.22% |
-22.30% |
-19.06% |
off list | g | +32.61% | Keep |
|
Ainsworth Lumber Co. |
ANS |
Aug. 15/04 |
$30.40 |
-20.17% |
-3.43% |
-21.22% |
off list | i | -34.23% | Drop |
|
Centurion Energy |
CUX |
Jan. 16/05 |
$14.45 |
-13.88% |
-21.87% |
-21.87% |
off list | h | +13.33% | Keep |
|
Potash Corporation |
POT |
June 19/05 |
$119.85 |
-14.07% |
-22.32% |
-22.32% |
off list | g | +72.06% | Keep |
|
Cryptologic |
CRY |
May 15/05 |
$42.05 |
12.09% |
-45.76% |
-45.76% |
off list | h | +71.43% | Keep |
|
Average Gain |
|
|